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CFA/CFA lv2

Alternative Investment

CFA_LV2_AI_F.hwp

 

 

Alternative Investment

 

[ Private Real Estate Investments ]

 

Capitalization Rate

- cap rate = discount rate - growth rate

- value = V0 = NOI1 / cap rate

- NOI = 세전 금액

 

ERV (estimated rental value)

- term and revision approach : 계약 기간에 맞는 할인율

- layer method : 증분 현금 흐름에 맞는 할인율

Basic forms of real estate investment

 

Debt

Equity

Private

Mortgage

Direct investments such as sole ownership, partnerships, and other forms of commingled funds

Public

Mortgage-backed securities

Shares of REITs and REOCs

 

Commercial property types

property types

demand factor

lease types

Office

job creation

gross lease (operating expense owner)

net lease (operating expense tenant )

Industrial

retail sales growth

net lease

Retail

retail sales growth

percentage lease/rent (base fee + 매출연동 fee)

Multi-family

population growth

 

Storage

population growth

 

Health care

population growth

 

Hotel

job creation

 

 

Income approach

- direct capitalization method = NOI / cap rate

- discounted cash flow methos = CF / discount rate

- 오피스, 호텔

 

Cost approach

- MV of Land + replacement cost (profit 포함) - (physical deterioration

+ functional, locational, economic obsolescence)

- 신규 빌딩, sales comparison 적용 안되는 부동산, unusual

Appraisal-Based Indices

- NCREIF property Index (NPI), return = NOI + capital gain - capital expenditures

- 개별 부동산 가치의 합

- lower volatility and lower correlation

- tend to lag (분기 후행)

 

Transaction-Based Indices

- repeat-sales index : repeat sales of the same property. regression is developed to allocate the change in value to each quarter

- hedonic index : only one sale, regression is developed to control for differences in property characteristics

 

Financial ratios

- DSCR = first-year NOI / debt service DTI

- LTV = loan amount / appraisal value

- equity dividend rate = first year cash flow / equity

 

[ Public Traded Real Estate Securities ]

 

Types of publicly traded real estate securities

종류

특징

REITs

tax 효과, 배당 수익(이익보유 금지), particular kind of property

REOSc

capital gain, 성장성, 투자대상 다양

MBS

residential or commercial MBS

Mortgage REITs

invest in mortgages, mortgage securities or loans

 

Advantages and Disadvantages of publicly traded securities

Advantages

Disadvantages

Superior liquidity

Lower minimum investment

Limited liability

Access to premium properties

Active professional management

Protections accorded to publicly traded securities

Greater potential for diversification

Taxes versus direct ownership

Lack of control

Costs of a publicly traded corporate structure

Price is determined by the stock market

Structural conflicts of interest

Limited potential for income growth

Forced equity issuance.

( to REITs, not to REOCs )

Exemption from taxation

Predictable earnings

High yield

( to REITs, not to REOCs )

Lack of flexibility

 

 

NAVPS

- NOI / cap rate + other tangible asset - liability

- net asset value = total asset(MV) - liability

 

Funds from operations (FFO)

accounting net earnings

 

 

 

+ depreciation expense

+ deferred tax expense

- gains from sales of property and debt restructuring

+ losses from sales of property and debt restructuring

 

= Funds from operations

- FFO = Gross revenue - operating cost - G&A expenses - interest

- 경상적 현금영업이익

 

Adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) :

FFO

 

 

- non-cash (straight-line) rent adjustment

- recurring maintenance-type capital expenditures

- leasing commissions

 

= AFFO

- 경상적 현금영업이익 - 경상적 지출

 

[ Private Equity Valuation ]

 

Economic terms of PEF

- carried interest : GP's share of the fund profits and is usually 20% of profits

- ratchet : specifies allocation of equity between stockholders and management of the portfolio company and allows management to increase their allocation, depending on company performance

 

Control Mechanism

- tag-along, drag-along clauses : anytime an acquirer acquires control of the company, the must extend the acquisition offer to all shareholders, including firm management.

- board representation : the private equity firm is ensured control through board representation if the portfolio company experiences a major event such as a takeover, restructuring, initial public offering, bankruptcy, or liquidation.

- priority in claims : private equity firms receive their distributions before other owners, often in the form of preferred dividends and sometimes specified as a multiple of their original investment. they also have priority on the company's assets if the portfolio company is liquidated.

 

- required approvals : changes of strategic importance must be approved by the private equity firm.

- earn-out : these are used predominantly in venture capital investments. Earn-outs tie the acquisition price paid by the private equity firm to the portfolio company's future performance over a specified time period.

 

Corporate governance terms of a private equity fund

- clawback : if a fund is profitable early in its life, the GP receives compensation from the GP's contractually defined share of profits. Under a clawback provision, if the fund subsequently underperforms, the GP is required to pay back a portion of the early profits to the LPs.

- distribution waterfall : this provision specifies the method in which profits will flow to the LPs and when the GP receives carried interest.

In a deal-by-deal method, carried interest can be distributed after each individual deal.

In the total return method, carried interest is calculated on the entire portfolio. (1) entire committed capital is returend to LPs; (2) value of the portfolio exceeds invested capital by some minimum amount

- No-fault divorce : this clause allows a GP to be fired if a supermajority of the LPs agree to do so.

- Removal for cause : this provision allows for the firing of the GP or the termination of a fund given sufficient cause.

- Investment restrictions : these specify leverage limits, a minium amount of diversification, etc.

- Co-investment : this provision allows the LPs to invest in other funds of the GP at low or no management fees.

 

Key differences between venture capital and buyout investments

 

VC

Buyout

due diligence performed by private equity firms

private equity firms investigate technological and commercial prospects; investigation of financials is limited due to short history

private equity firms perform extensive due diligence

capital market presence

generally not active in capital markets

active in capital market

ability to grow through subsequent funding

companies are less scalable as subsequent funding is typically smaller

strong performers can increase subsequent funding amounts

source of general partner's variable revenue

carried interest is most common, transaction and monitoring fee are less common

carried interest, transaction fees, and monitoring fees

IRR

- gross IRR : cash flows between fund and portfolio companies

- net IRR : net of fee, cash flows between fund and LPs

 

Quantitative Measures

- PIC (paid-in capital) : 누적 capital call

- DPI (distributed to paid in capital) : 누적분배금 / PIC

- RVPI (residual value to paid-in capital) : NAV after / PIC

- TVPI (totla value to paid-in capital) : DPI + RVPI

 

NAV

- NAV before distributions = NAV after distribution in prior year + capital called down

- management fee + operating results

- NAV after distributions = NAV before distributions - carried interest - distributions

 

Venture capital method

- post-money value = PV(exit value)

- pre-money value = post-money value - investment

- fraction of VC ownership(f) = INV / POST or FV(INT) / exit value

- sharesVC = sharesFounders(f / 1-f)

- price = INV / sharesVC

 

[ A primer on Commodity Investing ]

 

Forward price

- F0 = S0e(r+U-Y)T

- U = cost of storage, Y = convenience yield

 

Backwardation vs. Contango

- backwardation : negative trend, seller 우위, roll yield +

- contango : positive slope, buyer 우위, roll yield -

 

Convenience yield

- monetary benefit from holding a physical commodity versus being long the equivalent futures contract

- Y = price after shock - first purchase price

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

Ways of participating in commodity markets

 

advantage

disadvantage

buying the physical good

obvious and direct

the costs of storing and maintaining the asset

commodity stock

stock markets respond quickly and sensibly to events that may impact a firm's value

not the same as direct investment and often has low correlation with the price of the underlying commodity.

commodity mutual funds

diversification with low

transactions costs

differences in management style, allocation strategy, and other characteristics among funds.

commodity futures

convenient, flexible, low

transactions cost, and highly leveraged nature

spend time and effort to continuously close maturing contracts and open new positions

 

Return components of commodity futures investment

- total return = spot return + roll return + collateral return + rebalancing return

- excess return (index) = spot return + roll return = futures return

- collateral return : interest received on a cash investment

- rebalancing return : increased in value are sold, decreased in value are purchased

 

Models of expected return

- CAPM : not appropriate

- insurance perspective : producer long commodity, short futures backwardation

- hedging pressure hypothesis : depending on the balance of hedgers

contango or backwardation

- theory of storage : impact of inventory levels on commodity futures price

lower inventory levels higher convenience yield

 

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