Alternative Investment |
[ Private Real Estate Investments ]
○ Capitalization Rate
- cap rate = discount rate - growth rate
- value = V0 = NOI1 / cap rate
- NOI = 세전 금액
○ ERV (estimated rental value)
- term and revision approach : 계약 기간에 맞는 할인율
- layer method : 증분 현금 흐름에 맞는 할인율
○ Basic forms of real estate investment
|
Debt |
Equity |
Private |
Mortgage |
Direct investments such as sole ownership, partnerships, and other forms of commingled funds |
Public |
Mortgage-backed securities |
Shares of REITs and REOCs |
○ Commercial property types
property types |
demand factor |
lease types |
Office |
job creation |
gross lease (operating expense ⇒ owner) net lease (operating expense ⇒ tenant ) |
Industrial |
retail sales growth |
net lease |
Retail |
retail sales growth |
percentage lease/rent (base fee + 매출연동 fee) |
Multi-family |
population growth |
|
Storage |
population growth |
|
Health care |
population growth |
|
Hotel |
job creation |
|
○ Income approach
- direct capitalization method = NOI / cap rate
- discounted cash flow methos = CF / discount rate
- 오피스, 호텔
○ Cost approach
- MV of Land + replacement cost (profit 포함) - (physical deterioration
+ functional, locational, economic obsolescence)
- 신규 빌딩, sales comparison 적용 안되는 부동산, unusual
○ Appraisal-Based Indices
- NCREIF property Index (NPI), return = NOI + capital gain - capital expenditures
- 개별 부동산 가치의 합
- lower volatility and lower correlation
- tend to lag (분기 후행)
○ Transaction-Based Indices
- repeat-sales index : repeat sales of the same property. regression is developed to allocate the change in value to each quarter
- hedonic index : only one sale, regression is developed to control for differences in property characteristics
○ Financial ratios
- DSCR = first-year NOI / debt service ≈ DTI
- LTV = loan amount / appraisal value
- equity dividend rate = first year cash flow / equity
[ Public Traded Real Estate Securities ]
○ Types of publicly traded real estate securities
종류 |
특징 |
REITs |
tax 효과, 배당 수익(이익보유 금지), particular kind of property |
REOSc |
capital gain, 성장성, 투자대상 다양 |
MBS |
residential or commercial MBS |
Mortgage REITs |
invest in mortgages, mortgage securities or loans |
○ Advantages and Disadvantages of publicly traded securities
Advantages |
Disadvantages |
▪ Superior liquidity ▪ Lower minimum investment ▪ Limited liability ▪ Access to premium properties ▪ Active professional management ▪ Protections accorded to publicly traded securities ▪ Greater potential for diversification |
▪ Taxes versus direct ownership ▪ Lack of control ▪ Costs of a publicly traded corporate structure ▪ Price is determined by the stock market ▪ Structural conflicts of interest ▪ Limited potential for income growth ▪ Forced equity issuance. |
( to REITs, not to REOCs ) ▪ Exemption from taxation ▪ Predictable earnings ▪ High yield |
( to REITs, not to REOCs ) ▪ Lack of flexibility
|
○ NAVPS
- NOI / cap rate + other tangible asset - liability
- net asset value = total asset(MV) - liability
○ Funds from operations (FFO)
accounting net earnings
|
+ depreciation expense + deferred tax expense - gains from sales of property and debt restructuring + losses from sales of property and debt restructuring |
|
= Funds from operations |
- FFO = Gross revenue - operating cost - G&A expenses - interest
- 경상적 현금영업이익
○ Adjusted funds from operations (AFFO) : 경
FFO
|
- non-cash (straight-line) rent adjustment - recurring maintenance-type capital expenditures - leasing commissions |
|
= AFFO |
- 경상적 현금영업이익 - 경상적 지출
[ Private Equity Valuation ]
○ Economic terms of PEF
- carried interest : GP's share of the fund profits and is usually 20% of profits
- ratchet : specifies allocation of equity between stockholders and management of the portfolio company and allows management to increase their allocation, depending on company performance
○ Control Mechanism
- tag-along, drag-along clauses : anytime an acquirer acquires control of the company, the must extend the acquisition offer to all shareholders, including firm management.
- board representation : the private equity firm is ensured control through board representation if the portfolio company experiences a major event such as a takeover, restructuring, initial public offering, bankruptcy, or liquidation.
- priority in claims : private equity firms receive their distributions before other owners, often in the form of preferred dividends and sometimes specified as a multiple of their original investment. they also have priority on the company's assets if the portfolio company is liquidated.
- required approvals : changes of strategic importance must be approved by the private equity firm.
- earn-out : these are used predominantly in venture capital investments. Earn-outs tie the acquisition price paid by the private equity firm to the portfolio company's future performance over a specified time period.
○ Corporate governance terms of a private equity fund
- clawback : if a fund is profitable early in its life, the GP receives compensation from the GP's contractually defined share of profits. Under a clawback provision, if the fund subsequently underperforms, the GP is required to pay back a portion of the early profits to the LPs.
- distribution waterfall : this provision specifies the method in which profits will flow to the LPs and when the GP receives carried interest.
In a deal-by-deal method, carried interest can be distributed after each individual deal.
In the total return method, carried interest is calculated on the entire portfolio. (1) entire committed capital is returend to LPs; (2) value of the portfolio exceeds invested capital by some minimum amount
- No-fault divorce : this clause allows a GP to be fired if a supermajority of the LPs agree to do so.
- Removal for cause : this provision allows for the firing of the GP or the termination of a fund given sufficient cause.
- Investment restrictions : these specify leverage limits, a minium amount of diversification, etc.
- Co-investment : this provision allows the LPs to invest in other funds of the GP at low or no management fees.
○ Key differences between venture capital and buyout investments
|
VC |
Buyout |
due diligence performed by private equity firms |
private equity firms investigate technological and commercial prospects; investigation of financials is limited due to short history |
private equity firms perform extensive due diligence |
capital market presence |
generally not active in capital markets |
active in capital market |
ability to grow through subsequent funding |
companies are less scalable as subsequent funding is typically smaller |
strong performers can increase subsequent funding amounts |
source of general partner's variable revenue |
carried interest is most common, transaction and monitoring fee are less common |
carried interest, transaction fees, and monitoring fees |
○ IRR
- gross IRR : cash flows between fund and portfolio companies
- net IRR : net of fee, cash flows between fund and LPs
○ Quantitative Measures
- PIC (paid-in capital) : 누적 capital call
- DPI (distributed to paid in capital) : 누적분배금 / PIC
- RVPI (residual value to paid-in capital) : NAV after / PIC
- TVPI (totla value to paid-in capital) : DPI + RVPI
○ NAV
- NAV before distributions = NAV after distribution in prior year + capital called down
- management fee + operating results
- NAV after distributions = NAV before distributions - carried interest - distributions
○ Venture capital method
- post-money value = PV(exit value)
- pre-money value = post-money value - investment
- fraction of VC ownership(f) = INV / POST or FV(INT) / exit value
- sharesVC = sharesFounders(f / 1-f)
- price = INV / sharesVC
[ A primer on Commodity Investing ]
○ Forward price
- F0 = S0e(r+U-Y)T
- U = cost of storage, Y = convenience yield
○ Backwardation vs. Contango
- backwardation : negative trend, seller 우위, roll yield +
- contango : positive slope, buyer 우위, roll yield -
○ Convenience yield
- monetary benefit from holding a physical commodity versus being long the equivalent futures contract
- Y = price after shock - first purchase price
○ Ways of participating in commodity markets
|
advantage |
disadvantage |
buying the physical good |
obvious and direct |
the costs of storing and maintaining the asset |
commodity stock |
stock markets respond quickly and sensibly to events that may impact a firm's value |
not the same as direct investment and often has low correlation with the price of the underlying commodity. |
commodity mutual funds |
diversification with low transactions costs |
differences in management style, allocation strategy, and other characteristics among funds. |
commodity futures |
convenient, flexible, low transactions cost, and highly leveraged nature |
spend time and effort to continuously close maturing contracts and open new positions |
○ Return components of commodity futures investment
- total return = spot return + roll return + collateral return + rebalancing return
- excess return (index) = spot return + roll return = futures return
- collateral return : interest received on a cash investment
- rebalancing return : increased in value are sold, decreased in value are purchased
○ Models of expected return
- CAPM : not appropriate
- insurance perspective : producer → long commodity, short futures → backwardation
- hedging pressure hypothesis : depending on the balance of hedgers
→ contango or backwardation
- theory of storage : impact of inventory levels on commodity futures price
→ lower inventory levels → higher convenience yield
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