Corporate Finance |
[ Capital Budgeting ]
○ Cash Flow table
기초 |
영업 중 |
기말 |
- FCInv - NWCInv |
+(S-O-D)(1-t) + D +(S-O)(1-t) + Dt |
+BV of FCInv +세후 매각이익 +NWCInv |
- CF ⇒ 증분 CF, 외부효과(cannibalization), 기회비용 but 매몰비용 ×
- WACC ⇒ 프로젝트 β 사용, MV비중 이용
○ 자본 할당
NPV |
IRR |
PI |
가장 우월 |
unconventional CF ⇒ multiple IRR or No IRR |
NPV = 0 → PI = 1 PV of CF / investment |
○ Economic 분석
- Economic income = cash flow + change in MV (PV of CF) = cash flow - economic dep
- Economic profit = NOPAT - WACC × 기초BV
- Residual income = NI - 기초Equity × Re
- NOPAT = 세후영업이익 = EBIT × (1-t)
- MVA = PV of Economic profit
○ Risk 분석
- Sensitivity analysis ⇒ input을 20% 늘려보고, 줄여보고
- Scenario analysis ⇒ best/worst case, base case
- Simulation analysis (Monte Carlo simulation) ⇒ probability distribution
○ Inflation
- 인플레이션 = 할인율 상승 → 채무자 good & 채권자 bad, tax saving from dep. 감소
[Mergers and Acquisitions]
○ HHI
- 시장 참여자들의 시장점유율의 제곱의 합
- 절대치 : 1000 / 1800
- 변동치 : 100 / 50
○ Comparable approach ↔ DCF
- comparable company ⇒ 업계평균 multiple price × ( 1 + 평균 프리미엄 )
- comparable transaction ⇒ 인수가에 대한 multiple
○ Divestitures (분할)
- equity carve-out : 자회사 설립 with outside shareholders (public offering)
- spin-off : 자회사 설립 with parent company's shareholders (무상비례배분)
- split off : exchange, 모회사 주식 버리고 자회사 주식 받기
- liquidations : 청산
○ Takeover defense
Pre-offer |
▪ poison pill : 주주의 신주염가매수권 ▪ poison put : 채권자의 상환청구권 ▪ restrictive takeover laws : 법으로 제한(강력한 antiturst law) ▪ restricted voting rights : 일정 지분률 초과에 대해 voting rights 무효화 ▪ supermajority voting provision for mergers : 과반수가 아닌 75% ▪ fair price amendment : 시장가 아닌 특정한 공식으로 산출 ▪ golden parachutes : 경영자에 막대한 보상 |
Post-offer |
▪ "Just say no" defense : 적대감 표시 ▪ Litigation : 소송 ▪ Greenmail : 비싼 값으로 주식 되사기 (SK-소버린) ▪ Share repurchase : 자사주 사기, 주식 가격 상승(매수 비용 상승) ▪ Leveraged recapitalization : 부채로 자사주 사기(자본구조 변경) ▪ Crown jewel defense : 핵심 자산 매각 ▪ Pac-man defense : 역공격 ▪ White knight defense : 제3자의 우호지분 취득 ▪ White squire defense : 제3자의 소수지분 취득 |
[ Capital Structure ]
○ 연구
이론 |
Tax |
Cost of financial distress |
WACC |
optimal |
1958MM |
× |
× |
|
irrelevant |
1963MM |
○ |
× |
|
부채100% |
Trade off |
○ |
○ |
|
optimal |
○ MM
- proposition 1 :
- proposition 2 :
○ Agency cost
- 경영자 (확증비용) vs. 주주 (감시비용)
- 주주 vs. 채권자
○ Pecking order
- 내부자본 → 부채 → 외부자본 (신주 발행)
[ Dividends and share repurchases: analysis ]
○ 배당 이론
이론 |
배당 효과 |
MM |
irrelevant |
Bird-in-hand |
현재의 확실한 현금 > 미래의 불확실한 자본이득 |
Tax aversion |
배당소득세 > 자본이득세 ⇒ 무배당 |
○ Information asymmetry
이론 |
배당 효과 |
dividend initiation |
ambiguous |
unexpected dividend increase |
good |
unexpected dividend decreases or omissions |
bad |
○ Dividend safety
- dividend payout ratio = dividends / net income
- dividend coverage ratio = net income / dividends
- FCFE coverage ratio = FCFE / (dividends + share repurchases)
○ Target payout ratio adjustment model
- expected dividend = previous dividend
+ expected increase in EPS × target payout ratio × adjustment factor
- adjustment factor = 1 / number of years over which the adjustment in dividends
will take place
○ Clientele effect
- the varying dividend preferences of different group of investors (ex. tax considerations)
[ Corporate Governance ]
○ Two major objectives
- eliminate or reduce conflicts of interests
- use company's assets in a manner consistent with the best interests of investors and other stakeholder
○ Best practices
- 75% independence board members
- CEO and chairman are separate positions
- directors knowledgeable/experienced, serve on only 2 or 3 boards
- annual elections (not staggered) ⇔ M&A defense
- evaluate/assess board annually
- meet annually without management
- independent directors with finance expertise on audit committee; meet auditors annually
- independent directors on nominating committee
- most senior manager pay tied to performance
- board use independent/outside counsel
- board approves related-party transactions
○ Risk of an ineffective corporate governance
- financial disclosure risk : information and disclosures that investors use as a basis for financial decisions are incomplete, misleading, or materially misstated.
- asset risk : managers and directors may use company assets inappropriately. (excessive compensation and perks)
- liability risk : management may enter into off-balance-sheet obligations that reduce the value of the shareholders' stake in the company.
- strategic policy risk : management may enter into transactions that may not be in the best interests of shareholders, but will provide benefits for management.
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